September/October 2019 Update

Autumn is upon us and the leaves are just starting to turn here in Colorado Springs. I warmly welcome the cooler weather after this year’s long, hot summer! I hope all is well with you. Market Conditions Not to sound bleak, but I continue to see real-time signs of a slowing US economy, minimal inflation, increasing geopolitical risks, and richly valued …

August/September 2019 Update

Dear client or friend of Vailshire Capital Management, Happy Labor Day! I hope that each of you is finding time to rest and reconnect with people you love today. Today’s monthly update should be quick, so you can get back to your grills! Market Conditions Our defensive stance has paid off lately, as evidenced by our investment account returns. While …

July/August 2019 Update

Dear client or friend of Vailshire Capital Management, I just completed the very last final exams for my MBA courses. A mere four weeks away from my 45th birthday and I’m finally done with school! I can’t think of a better way to celebrate than by sending my clients (and interested parties) a monthly update on behalf of Vailshire Capital …

Vailshire Quarterly Update | Q2 2019

Dear client or friend of Vailshire Partners LP, Greetings! After an unusually cool and wet start to the summer, the more normal hot and dry days have returned to Colorado Springs. My family is enjoying the warm days in our new home. I hope all is well with you. This quarterly memo will be a bit shorter than normal, as …

Hungry For Market-Beating Returns? Add Medifast To Your Portfolio Plate

Below is the latest insights offered by Jeff Ross at his column over at Seeking Alpha. Click here to view the full article . Summary Based in the US, Medifast Inc is an alpha-generating, health and wellness “diamond in the rough” with a $1.9 billion market cap. Investors who have been astute enough to have held MED shares over the …

Vailshire Quarterly Update | Q1 2019

The first quarter of 2019 saw a marked change in the equity and bond markets from the very difficult conditions we faced in the last quarter of 2018. Jerome Powell, head of the United States Federal Reserve (“the Fed”), and his team of central bankers almost single-handedly caused the steep market losses through his/their hawkish comments of “quantitative tightening” (QT) in …

Dr. Ross on Stansberry Investor Hour – March 13, 2019

From Stansberry Investor Hour: https://investorhour.com/episodes/how-to-know-when-the-stock-markets-in-a-bubble How to Know When the Stock Market’s In a Bubble In This Episode On the heels of the 10-year anniversary of the March 2009 stock market nadir, Dan sums up how things looked when the S&P 500 bottomed out at 666 at the dark days of that crisis, how things look a decade later, and why …

Portfolio Changes to Vailshire Partners LP Hedge Fund (Week of Sept. 24-28) – $EQX $KORS $FTR $LOXO $ADI $EKTAY $AVEO $TRUP $PEI

Highlights: Our general investment themes of staying long US equities–including healthcare and technology stocks–short China, short emerging markets, and short obsolete companies, continue to treat us well at Vailshire Partners LP Hedge Fund. I had anticipated an announcement of a new trade agreement between the US and Canada by Friday, September 28th, which would have produced a nice end-of-the-month bounce …

Portfolio Changes to Vailshire Partners LP Hedge Fund (Week of Sept. 17-21) – $CNTE $MKTX $MKC $NKE $CW $CYH $AYX $RLGT

Highlights: The Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 performed well relative to the technology-heavy NASDAQ last week. Much of the optimism in the former markets was related to hopes of resolving the US-China trade spat. At Vailshire, we are less optimistic of a quick and painless agreement with China and remain generally short Chinese equities, as well as emerging …

Portfolio Changes to Vailshire Partners LP Hedge Fund (Week of Sept. 10-14) – $GSM $ROKU $SSTI $ASNA $AGO $Y

Highlights: After large gains for Vailshire Partners LP hedge fund in August, September has seen renewed tough tariff-talk and Twitter-Induced Volatility (TIV) into the worldwide markets. Our fund remains cautiously long, but in added protection mode to preserve our hard-won gains. The role of central banks and political maneuvering in the markets are unprecedented. I feel, however, that this is …