October 2022 Update for Vailshire’s Separately Managed Account Clients

Autumn has arrived here in Colorado! I hope each of you is doing well. (Graph: The S&P 500 is down a whopping -17% since its epic “fail” on 16-August-2022!) Current Market Conditions They call me “Dr. Bear” on Twitter for a reason. Almost every day, I speak on a live Twitter Spaces event or a podcast interview, telling people about …

September 2022 Update for Vailshire’s Separately Managed Account Clients

Greetings from Colorado! I hope each of you is doing well. Current Market Conditions High levels of inflation continue to dominate the headlines, while the world’s economic engine sputters. The disinflation relief rally in risk assets that began in mid-June from deeply oversold levels came to an abrupt end in mid-August. As a primary example, the S&P 500 (see the …

July 2022 Update for Vailshire’s Separately Managed Account Clients

Happy Independence Day! I hope all is well with each of you and that you have some time to ponder and celebrate freedom in the coming days. Current Market Conditions The bad economic news is starting to pile up… and it is truly awful. While the Fed raises the federal funds rate to “cool off” our “strong” economy, the market …

June 2022 Update for Vailshire’s Separately Managed Account Clients

Hello from Colorado! Our kids are finished with the school year and are home for the summer. My wife and I are ecstatic to spend some quality time with them in the coming months. I hope each of you is doing well. Current Market Conditions The macroeconomic conditions in the United States and across most of the developed world are …

May 2022 Update for Vailshire’s Separately Managed Account Clients

Happy May Day! The grass is getting greener, buds are forming on the trees, and some flowers are starting to bloom under the warm Colorado sun. I hope you are enjoying springtime as much as I am. Current Market Conditions As suspected in my previous Vailshire client update, macroeconomic conditions have continued to deteriorate throughout 2022. US gross domestic product …

September/October 2021 Update for Vailshire’s Separately Managed Account Clients

Happy Autumn! The leaves are just starting to change color here in the Springs and the weather remains beautiful. It’s hard to find anything to complain about. I hope each of you is doing well. Current Market Conditions Inflation continues to remain frustratingly high and is even accelerating… it looks less and less “transitory” by the day. This has specific …

August/September 2021 Update for Vailshire’s Separately Managed Account Clients

To Separately Managed Account Clients of Vailshire Capital Management The intense August heat is already a distant memory here in Colorado Springs. Much to their chagrin, our kids have been back in school for several weeks already… Autumn is just around the corner! I hope each of you is doing well. Current Market Conditions The Covid virus is officially endemic, …

Portfolio Changes to Vailshire Partners LP Hedge Fund (Week of Sept. 10-14) – $GSM $ROKU $SSTI $ASNA $AGO $Y

Highlights: After large gains for Vailshire Partners LP hedge fund in August, September has seen renewed tough tariff-talk and Twitter-Induced Volatility (TIV) into the worldwide markets. Our fund remains cautiously long, but in added protection mode to preserve our hard-won gains. The role of central banks and political maneuvering in the markets are unprecedented. I feel, however, that this is …

2016 3rd Quarter Memo for Vailshire Clients

Dear clients of Vailshire- Autumn has officially arrived here in Colorado, bringing cooler temperatures, beautiful changing leaves and studious kids in the thick of a new school year.  Our family loves to hike around the myriad trails here in Colorado Springs–with the mule deer, foxes and coyotes, under the majestic, snow-capped Pikes Peak. I hope you enjoy the Fall season …

Vailshire Clients Quarterly Memo Apr 4, 2016

Dear clients of Vailshire- The first three months of 2016 have once again felt like a rollercoaster ride. Through mid-February, fear was rampant and the equities market descended into what felt like the land of no return. Bears (pessimists) took to CNBC, newspapers and newsletters around the world and triumphantly explained why this was not just going to be 2008 …